Should the British take advantage of the collapse of the Japanese invasion of Malaya, and launch a major counterattack at this time? To which in my opinion the answer is definitely no, such a counterattack at this time would be a mistake. The situation bears a number of parallels with that that existed on the Indian Burmese border after the failure of the Japanese attempted invasion of India. Which was the largest defeat that the Japanese Army had suffered up until that time in WWII, and left the Japanese unable to resist the subsequent British counteroffensive. Which eventually resulted in the British forces recapturing the majority of Burma and its major sea port of Rangoon. However there are some major significant differences between the British in Malaya in 1942, and the British in Burma in 1944. In Burma in 44, the British enjoyed near air supremacy and air superiority at all times, were as ITTL, the British are still fighting an active aerial campaign at present. In Burma in 44, thanks to lessons learned, and by diverting aircraft from the Hump mission, provide air supply to their forward troops, along with aerial evacuation of their wounded. Such is not available ITTL at this time to the British, and its going to be 1943 before the British will develop such capabilities. Bill Slim was able to tell his armoured forces and the supply formations, just get to Rangoon and you will be able to dump your present equipment, and draw all new kit, that is better then what you have now. There is no way that is going to happen ITTL, the troops are going to have to make the best of what they have for the foreseeable future.
The British also face a major humanitarian problem, as they need to provide relief to the local population, that has been subjected to the depletion of the Japanese attempt to live of the land. They also need to repair the extensive damage to the local infrastructure, both to supply their own forces and the local population. Unlike the British in Burma in 44, who had an objective that had the capability of providing a major re supply port. The British ITTL, would be advancing into territory that had no supplies or resources, and no substantial point of supply. With the fact that the local monsoon is due to arrive shortly, it will be best for the British to consolidate their position, and prepare for a campaign after the monsoon is over. While dealing with the ongoing campaign in and around Borneo and the DEI’s, which will no doubt be hotting up shortly. Add to this the Americans will be placing increasing pressure on the British to provide support and relief to their forces in the Philippines. The combination of ongoing events in Burma and Malaya, plus those in and around Borneo and the DEI’s, plus Britain’s commitments in the Mediterranean, Europe, Atlantic and Caribbean, mean that right now it would be best to put all future projects on hold. Especially in the Far East, where a significant pause in operations until the end of the upcoming monsoon. Which will allow the Army to exchange the present front line units which are in need of relief for units that have been in reserve. And for the British to prioritise its efforts in other areas, until they have more resources to spare for the conflict in the Far East, and the majority of the personnel will come from British India, as they did IOTL for the Burma campaign.
RR.