We are assuming that there is no legislative solution (there was a complex Supreme Court decision which apparently allowed Congress to lower the age only for federal elections) and we are assuming away that legislation and assuming that in all states the effective voting age remains at 21 until the present time.
Which elections will be affected?
1. Does McGovern get the Democrat nomination in 72
2. Does Carter beat Ford in 76?
3. Does Obama get the nomination in 08?
4. Does Trump beat Clinton in 16?
Bear in mind that the higher voting age will not only eliminate voters between ages 18 and 21 but will also lead to a reduction in votes from those just over age 21 who don't "get around to" registering.
Are there any other important impacts?
Which elections will be affected?
1. Does McGovern get the Democrat nomination in 72
2. Does Carter beat Ford in 76?
3. Does Obama get the nomination in 08?
4. Does Trump beat Clinton in 16?
Bear in mind that the higher voting age will not only eliminate voters between ages 18 and 21 but will also lead to a reduction in votes from those just over age 21 who don't "get around to" registering.
Are there any other important impacts?